Sep 11 – 13, 2024
Ecole Polytechnique
Europe/Paris timezone

J. Josse : Leveraging causal inference to generalize trial results to diverse population.

Sep 12, 2024, 2:10 PM
40m
Amphi Faurre (Ecole Polytechnique)

Amphi Faurre

Ecole Polytechnique

Description

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are pivotal in evidence-based medicine, estimating average treatment effects by avoiding confounding factors. However, concerns about RCT limitations—strict eligibility criteria, real-world impracticality, and small sample sizes—threaten their generalization to diverse populations. In this talk, I will first present transportability methods by integrating non-randomized observational data to extend trial findings to other populations, potentially facing distributional shifts. Then, I will focus on which causal measure is easier to generalize, whether absolute as the Risk Difference or relative as the Risk Ratio, Odds Ratio, etc. In particular, I will demonstrate that only the Risk difference can disentangle the treatment effect from the baseline risk at both population and strata levels.

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