Approximate Bayesian Computation and novel Bayesian approaches in cosmostatistics

Liste des Contributions

2. Gibbs-ABC

Prof. Christian Robert (CEREMADE, Paris)

20/09/2019 09:15

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this dimension grows. To tackle this difficulty, we explore a Gibbs version of the ABC approach that runs component-wise approximate Bayesian computation steps aimed...

1. Bayesian inference with black-box cosmological models

Dr Florent Leclercq (Imperial Centre for Inference and Cosmology, London)

20/09/2019 10:15

Large-scale astronomical surveys carry opportunities for testing physical theories about the origin and evolution of the Universe. Advancing the research frontier requires solving challenging and unique statistical problems, to unlock the information content of massive and complex data streams. In this talk, I will present recent methodological advances, aiming at fitting cosmological data...

5. ABC for galaxy star formation history model choice

Grégoire Aufort (Institut de Mathématiques de Marseille (I2M) Aix-Marseille Université)

20/09/2019 11:30

We are interested in the bayesian model choice problem when a large number of objects have to be processed. We propose an extension of the ABC-RandomForest algorithm for model choice, based on crossentropy minimization on the ABC simulation catalogue. This learning algorithm allows us to bypass the use of summary statistics for ABC. We present an application in...

4. ABC in cosmology: Likelihood-free inference without the inverse covariance matrix

Dr Martin Kilbinger (CEA Saclay)

20/09/2019 14:15

In traditional likelihood-based parameter inference methods, the inverse of the data covariance matrix has to be computed. In cosmology, the covariance is often estimated from expensive numerical simulations. Limits on the allowed biases on parameter constraints from the inversion of the noisy, high-dimensional covariance matrix sets strong requirements on the necessary number of simulations,...