We consider the estimation of noisy low-rank matrices. We compute the
minimal mean square error (MMSE) for this statistical problem. We will
observe a phase transition: there exists a critical value of the
signal-to-noise ratio above which it is possible to make a non-trivial
guess about the signal, whereas this is impossible below this critical
value.
We will see that this problem reduces to the study of a spin glass
system. We will show that this system enjoys specific properties,
because it arises from a statistical problem. Using these properties
and tools from the study of spin glasses, we compute limiting
expressions for the free energy and the MMSE.
(joint work with Marc Lelarge)