28 juillet 2025 à 1 août 2025
Fuseau horaire Europe/Paris

Stochastic Revelation in Sequential Decision-Making with a Pharmaceutical Application

29 juil. 2025, 15:30
30m
F206

F206

Contributed talk Sequential decision making under uncertainty Stochastic integer programming

Orateur

Morteza Davari

Description

In many real-life situations, such as medical product launches, energy investments, or the rollout of new policies, decision-makers must act before knowing exactly when critical information will become available. We develop new mathematical models that incorporate uncertainty about what will happen and when that uncertainty will resolve. Traditional decision-making tools assume fixed timelines for information revelation; instead, we address more realistic scenarios where information arrives at unpredictable moments, making planning more complex and costly if mishandled.

In this talk, we focus on a pharmaceutical application, in particular, the planning and production of medical devices, where firms must be mindful of regulatory approvals. We develop a framework enhanced by problem-specific decomposition methods to address this multistage stochastic problem.

Authors

Bernardo Pagnoncelli (SKEMA Business School) Merve Bodur (University of Edinburgh) Morteza Davari

Documents de présentation

Aucun document.