28 juillet 2025 à 1 août 2025
Fuseau horaire Europe/Paris

Application-Driven Optimal Pointwise Forecasts for a Class of Two-Stage Stochastic Programs

31 juil. 2025, 10:45
30m
F206

F206

Invited talk Contextual Stochastic Programming Contextual stochastic programming

Orateur

Tito Homem-de-Mello (Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez)

Description

We consider the class of two-stage stochastic programs with uncertainty only on the right-hand side. Such a class encompasses practical many problems, especially in inventory models. We show that, under certain conditions, there exist an optimal scenario, in the sense that solving the problem with that scenario yields the same optimal solution as the original problem. In the case data-driven problems with contextual information, the result means that pointwise forecasts of the uncertain variables can be optimal. While such a scenario---which does not have be unique---is usually unknown, we present an integrated learning and optimization procedure that yields the best approximation of that scenario within the modeler's pre-specified set of parameterized forecast functions. Numerical results conducted with inventory problems from the literature as well as a microgrid energy management problem with real data demonstrate that the proposed approach performs well when compared to benchmark methods.

Author

Tito Homem-de-Mello (Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez)

Co-auteurs

Dr Felipe Lagos (Universidad Adolfo Ibañez) Dr Guido Lagos (Universidad Adolfo Ibañez) M. Juan Valencia (University of Edimburgh)

Documents de présentation

Aucun document.