28 juillet 2025 à 1 août 2025
Fuseau horaire Europe/Paris

The impact of wind uncertainty modelling on power systems investment planning under multi-timescale uncertainty

1 août 2025, 12:20
25m
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Invited talk Multihorizon Stochastic Programming: Models, Algorithms, and Applications Mini-symposium

Orateur

Dr Hongyu Zhang (University of Southampton)

Description

This paper proposes a novel algorithm to efficiently solve large-scale multi-stage stochastic programs with block separable recourse. We use an extended Benders decomposition with adaptive oracles to decompose the problem into a master problem and a collection of subproblems. The adaptive oracles enable cut sharing among the subproblems. We apply the proposed method for solving power system capacity expansion planning problems with multi-timescale uncertainty. The problem is formulated as a multi-horizon stochastic program, which fits the problem structure we deal with. We consider long-term uncertainty in power demand scaling and short-term uncertainty in wind capacity factor. We present and analyse the results of different ways of modelling short-term wind uncertainty.

Author

Dr Hongyu Zhang (University of Southampton)

Co-auteurs

Prof. Ken McKinnon (The University of Edinburgh) Dr Nicolò Mazzi (The University of Edinburgh)

Documents de présentation

Aucun document.