Orateur
Description
We consider multistage stochastic mixed-integer programs. These problems are extremely challenging to solve since the expected cost-to-go functions in these problems are typically non-convex due to the integer decision variables involved. This means that efficient decomposition methods using tools from convex approximations cannot be applied to this problem. For this reason, we construct convex approximations for the expected cost to-go functions and we derive error bounds for these approximations that converge to zero when the total variation of the probability density functions of the random parameters in the model converge to zero. In other words, the convex approximations perform well if the variability of the random parameters in the problem is large enough. To derive these results, we analyze the mixed-integer value functions in the multistage problem, and show that any MILP with convex and Lipschitz continuous objective exhibits asymptotic periodic behavior. Combining these results with total variation bounds on the expectation of periodic functions yields the desired bounds.