Statistique - Probabilités - Optimisation et Contrôle

Laetitia Colombani (CMAP, École Polytechnique) "Some asymptotic properties of inhibitive Hawkes process"

Europe/Paris
Salle René Baire (IMB)

Salle René Baire

IMB

Description

Hawkes process was introduced by Hawkes in 1971 and are widely used in many applications (earthquakes, neurons, social network, finance, etc.). This jump process has an intensity which depends on the past. Linear "self-exciting" Hawkes process has been particularly studied and some asymptotic results are well-known.
I study non-linear Hawkes processes, which can model self-inhibition and self-excitation. We proved asymptotic properties (law of large numbers, CLT, large deviations), by considering a new point of view for this process: the renewal structure of Hawkes process, introduced by Costa, Graham, Marsalle and Tran (2020), leads to a comparison with cumulative processes.
In this talk, I'll introduce Hawkes processes and cumulative processes. By exhibiting their link, I'll give an idea of the approach we use to prove asymptotic properties.